NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Nets: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b78aa6d41cf2f9451574cf39c3340c0bcc12cf672fa0731a4c158726e9eb0e3

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,016 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbc10…3f05backed Under	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	9,560$4,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,776.61	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Over	50c	5,998$2,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Over	50c	3,762$1,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,881.56	300	53.3%160 W · 140 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	46c	2,022$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.88	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Over	54c	2,022$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.88	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	50c	2,018$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.51	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Over	50c	1,643$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.25	710	52.1%370 W · 340 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	50c	1,100$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	51c	599.8$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.9	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over	46c	528.26$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Over	49c	457$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.86	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd22…eaadbacked Over	46c	355.46$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.51	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f43…3ec1backed Under	55c	312.23$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	54c	292.43$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.52	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked Over	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	46c	216.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd483…9231backed Over	46c	193.83$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x751a…9ea1backed Under	49c	75$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.16per pick	37cpaid	+381.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	51c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Under	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b47…5286backed Under	46c	43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	109	45%49 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	54c	38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Over	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Nets: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event