NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6866be062123f8ea457bb3073c3133e8e28b926ce06067e6d3f03366641c67a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1252…dec2backed 76ers | 49c | 9,154$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets | 51c | 8,513$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.7 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nets | 54c | 7,547$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.32 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…ca00backed 76ers | 49c | 5,439$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…d786backed Nets | 51c | 4,770$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…d262backed Nets | 51c | 4,548$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…4341backed Nets | 51c | 4,453$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 46c | 4,347$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.38 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…c142backed 76ers | 49c | 4,210$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…9a19backed 76ers | 49c | 4,107$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…2b2dbacked 76ers | 49c | 3,784$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…6ad2backed Nets | 51c | 3,769$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Nets | 51c | 2,886$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.84 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 46c | 2,758$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…7a5abacked Nets | 51c | 2,482$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…f7a4backed Nets | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nets | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.59 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ec8ebacked Nets | 51c | 1,685$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked 76ers | 49c | 1,375$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.84 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…520fbacked 76ers | 49c | 1,251$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…36f4backed 76ers | 49c | 1,231$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…0af6backed Nets | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…cf94backed 76ers | 49c | 1,161$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…8a54backed Nets | 51c | 1,126$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…b7f6backed 76ers | 49c | 1,126$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…182fbacked Nets | 51c | 1,123$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…e8e6backed 76ers | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…7439backed Nets | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8938…f7a9backed 76ers | 49c | 1,009$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed 76ers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…ad63backed 76ers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…de87backed 76ers | 49c | 992$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…ed77backed Nets | 51c | 926$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd4…5a43backed 76ers | 49c | 850$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fa…3919backed 76ers | 49c | 841$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf134…7b46backed 76ers | 49c | 824$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…ee41backed 76ers | 49c | 813$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…6ea6backed Nets | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d6d2backed 76ers | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…cc1fbacked 76ers | 49c | 733$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…930abacked Nets | 51c | 690$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…b69cbacked 76ers | 49c | 672$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…130abacked 76ers | 49c | 580$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…7fffbacked Nets | 51c | 479$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87aa…2867backed 76ers | 49c | 416$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dd…5300backed 76ers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers | 50c | 408.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked 76ers | 46c | 401.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed 76ers | 46c | 381$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…1192backed Nets | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Nets | 53c | 376.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…ab06backed Nets | 51c | 366$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…c081backed Nets | 51c | 324$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdf…2934backed Nets | 51c | 321$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669f…a2e9backed Nets | 51c | 278$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa419…a29bbacked Nets | 51c | 239$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed 76ers | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 52c | 172$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed 76ers | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…38c2backed 76ers | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…c40ebacked Nets | 51c | 126$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 76ers | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Nets | 54c | 110.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Nets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…9e28backed 76ers | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed 76ers | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…df34backed 76ers | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked 76ers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed 76ers | 50c | 68.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…6353backed 76ers | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 76ers | 49c | 57.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…2327backed 76ers | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked 76ers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked 76ers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…5753backed 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…fea4backed 76ers | 49c | 35.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed 76ers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Nets | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…be10backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Nets76ers won
- 76ers vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 235.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.