NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Nets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ca7c3ecb6ea460d62111cd3aafd14987056d94249a7c840d9de5211583b0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0279…0af6backed Over | 45c | 5,461$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…b7f6backed Under | 56c | 2,874$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…4341backed Over | 44c | 2,746$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 57c | 2,637$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.53 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…ed77backed Under | 51c | 2,631$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…d786backed Under | 56c | 2,539$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…ca00backed Under | 56c | 2,105$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…9a19backed Under | 55c | 2,077$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…c142backed Over | 45c | 2,046$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…ad63backed Under | 55c | 2,030$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…7fffbacked Under | 51c | 1,959$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…2b2dbacked Over | 44c | 1,898$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…6ad2backed Over | 45c | 1,877$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…d262backed Under | 55c | 1,846$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…1192backed Under | 55c | 1,751$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…130abacked Under | 55c | 1,680$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 40c | 1,558$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.39 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ec8ebacked Over | 44c | 1,476$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87aa…2867backed Over | 44c | 1,163$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,158$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…8a54backed Over | 49c | 1,124$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2708backed Over | 45c | 975$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…c081backed Over | 50c | 953$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…de87backed Over | 49c | 824$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…cc1fbacked Over | 49c | 722$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf134…7b46backed Over | 49c | 689$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…b69cbacked Over | 49c | 683$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…ab06backed Over | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…930abacked Over | 49c | 548$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…c144backed Under | 55c | 537$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669f…a2e9backed Under | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…afbdbacked Under | 55c | 402$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdf…2934backed Under | 50c | 312$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fa…3919backed Under | 50c | 267$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 41c | 253.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…38c2backed Over | 44c | 235$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…ee41backed Under | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa419…a29bbacked Under | 50c | 174$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 56c | 170.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…c40ebacked Under | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Under | 59c | 130.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 130.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…6617backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…d998backed Under | 59c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 236.5this page
- 76ers vs. Nets76ers won
- 76ers vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Nets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.