South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b52003697468f7b34bc273ecbe4371a0dbfbd41bfc238ba86e3e18c50c546f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 5,021$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 73c | 2,133$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.91 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 50c | 595.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 53c | 465.13$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 449.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 72c | 419.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 49c | 402.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…d91abacked Over | 54c | 272$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 271.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 59c | 237.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Over | 72c | 206.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 206.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 67c | 170.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 64c | 138$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 128.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 38c | 106.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 67c | 103.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 40c | 99.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 67c | 72.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d03…5722backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 56.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 33c | 42.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 71c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 63c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Over | 67c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.