Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x533a66d8f8398f73cddc4a16c8e1dc8d96275e40ef1ed994f8c758da0dd3bb02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0039…6bebbacked No | 51c | 34,482$17,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,906.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 49c | 12,175$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 12,117$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.33 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 49c | 2,574$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.96 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 2,337$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.58 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 1,619$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.1 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 1,395$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.09 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 49c | 1,386$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 13c | 1,317$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 47c | 998.08$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 554.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 47c | 413.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked No | 49c | 402.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 343.78$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 156.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 138.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 37c | 123.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 103.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 80.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 52c | 79.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 49c | 48.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 51c | 47.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…a7b9backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 53c | 43.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 42.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 49c | 40.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 51c | 37.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a0…7a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will AZ vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will NEC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.