Champions League · resolved market
LAFC vs. Esperance Sportive: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f28ecbff7af3479142912a7334b2b2fa2444db5f776d0a836d0dd656625297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 46c | 29,979$13,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,690.69 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 54c | 28,402$15,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,970.11 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 54c | 1,917$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.99 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…2964backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…5700backed No | 58c | 860$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 50c | 742.43$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.93 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 50c | 566$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 50c | 560.58$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 517.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…8f51backed Yes | 51c | 380.56$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 49c | 331.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 49c | 266$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…acedbacked No | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 56c | 112.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…b8b2backed Yes | 15c | 84.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed No | 52c | 77.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes | 50c | 31.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked No | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.