Champions League · resolved market
Juventus vs. Wydad AC: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1dff14c5d4257b5fa3a4479540c5e3d1f91ffc3f2f9b772e88c69672b735cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 55c | 27,865$15,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,539.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 45c | 24,980$11,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,240.99 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 48c | 8,152$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.82 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 47c | 5,993$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.86 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 4,537$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.76 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 46c | 2,150$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 51c | 981.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.71 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 40c | 947.08$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.59 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 52c | 525$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked No | 52c | 380.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 52c | 287.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 78c | 274.13$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 12c | 249.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 50c | 249.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7b…719ebacked Yes | 51c | 206.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 44c | 185.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 60c | 146$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 52c | 117.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 52c | 67.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yes | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 55c | 25.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…24e3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…527dbacked Yes | 57c | 19.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.