Champions League · resolved market
RB Salzburg vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaaf02cd66266cb1f6ac715e745ceec9d66dfca212fb1f35a6df3cf0cd0a1004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 68c | 3,467$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.1 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 32c | 3,100$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 68c | 2,770$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.36 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 33c | 1,730$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.89 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 62c | 1,690$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 35c | 1,250$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.45 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 45c | 1,010$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.71 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 50c | 994.59$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed No | 33c | 460$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 53c | 261.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 62c | 193.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked No | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…13abbacked Yes | 70c | 80.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 34c | 41.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 68c | 38.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…24e3backed Yes | 30c | 36.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 30c | 35.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed No | 34c | 33.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…0c09backed No | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 71c | 28.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6c…339dbacked No | 43c | 25.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.