MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24031c94bdef05d563b29afb9f8d1ee48be308939eed692032256dfe9fc23017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Los Angeles Dodgers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 26,419$12,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,124.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 14,872$7,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,274.84 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 7,316$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 6,150$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 6,123$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 4,212$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.52 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,577$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.27 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 1,778$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,391$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 1,300$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.08 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…d2b9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,253$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,249$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.88 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 1,195$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd3…9639backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 942.08$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 941$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.53 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 760.18$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.89 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 742$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.32 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 691.41$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 543.4$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 500$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 419.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 5c | 395$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 383.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 381.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 255.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 234.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 206.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…b0d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…d410backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…8100backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 185.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…fb0abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…caddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 120.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…0f05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 104.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 102.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 40.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 34.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8f…8f6abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 34.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 27.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…3baabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.