F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5665dec8c65682ab042759fc9a256553465d60cebcf299b50aa8b5ab7753eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 36c | 2,167$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 69c | 724.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed No | 27c | 479.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 31c | 347.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…80f5backed Yes | 71c | 235.9$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 63c | 226.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 66c | 159.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…3abcbacked Yes | 64c | 94.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…d079backed No | 38c | 72.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 71c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 62c | 59.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 59c | 52.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked No | 39c | 51.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…2c25backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…197ebacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…742cbacked No | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…c4d6backed Yes | 69c | 29.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed No | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…8e0bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…25e0backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 61c | 16.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.