F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c04848fd4767fb254fba7eeb0d4334e687cf800a21e7c7a7949df9c4100458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 7c | 6,819$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…8713backed Yes | 36c | 2,800$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 16c | 950$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 75c | 678.64$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0edc…59b1backed No | 34c | 601.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 28c | 324.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 59c | 230.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 76c | 194$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 62c | 187$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…fe19backed No | 48c | 165.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 112.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…7c6abacked No | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 68c | 48.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…6498backed No | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?this page
- Will Aston Martin have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Racing Bulls have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.