F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9b145e8658c36015a78b32025a4771db8fb81e5d545ca757ee02bf5384019f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Yes | 77c | 793.17$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed No | 23c | 762.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 30c | 421.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 68c | 312$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 22c | 165.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…f8f7backed No | 33c | 153.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked No | 29c | 144.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 25c | 117.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 105.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…f514backed Yes | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…bc57backed Yes | 70c | 71.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…c5d8backed No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…eec4backed No | 25c | 51.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked No | 33c | 45.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…0136backed Yes | 78c | 45.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0794…0843backed Yes | 76c | 41.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 78c | 38.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…9166backed Yes | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…c4cbbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 75c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…b2babacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 64c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…aa17backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…2658backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…b202backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…52a7backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264e…a686backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…6968backed Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.