Champions League · resolved market
Atlético Madrid vs. Botafogo: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a5976070330a50c20c30f99050f3b42899bd0fd840bf7744c41995726b7fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Yes | 0c | 9,678$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 48c | 4,616$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.11 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 49c | 4,072$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.51 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 54c | 3,705$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.61 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 46c | 2,786$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.61 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 51c | 2,287$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.6 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 49c | 2,001$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.91 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.6 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Yes | 53c | 750.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Yes | 52c | 633.66$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 49c | 519.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 49c | 517$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed No | 53c | 441.57$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed No | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed No | 54c | 373.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 54c | 372.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 49c | 308.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 73c | 136.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 78c | 130.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3282…7716backed Yes | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…13abbacked Yes | 54c | 102.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed Yes | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 86.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 46c | 68.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 34c | 67.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…705fbacked Yes | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…24e3backed Yes | 39c | 56.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed Yes | 51c | 54.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Yes | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 53c | 52.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Yes | 51c | 40.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…7cb8backed Yes | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…54cabacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Yes | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 51c | 29.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 48c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…0095backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked No | 50c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…acb0backed Yes | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…2e88backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392d…cb5dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…8685backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…d5bbbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…57d7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…177abacked Yes | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.