F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeefedc31a5012e1cb9df2796eba555a9a4502469a7f4b6ab8cdbdceafa0c0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.92 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 39c | 1,424$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 50c | 1,106$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.35 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…9514backed Yes | 56c | 1,046$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed No | 46c | 1,024$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.49 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…f4e0backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 42c | 743.82$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 61c | 655.9$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 61c | 377.16$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf41…533dbacked Yes | 54c | 368.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 48c | 317.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 39c | 245$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 53c | 233.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…3b09backed Yes | 53c | 200.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…7a37backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…902ebacked Yes | 75c | 199.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Yes | 55c | 185.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…0c0fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 48c | 176.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…3f5ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbe…ecbcbacked Yes | 60c | 166.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…7719backed Yes | 61c | 164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 58c | 131.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9eeabacked Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d2…925fbacked No | 75c | 93.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…af5fbacked Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x184c…9f30backed No | 47c | 89.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…b187backed Yes | 54c | 86.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…f3c6backed Yes | 52c | 79.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…a8c5backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ba…0e72backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…7b85backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6c…9336backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770c…d659backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…f407backed Yes | 54c | 42.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…c07cbacked Yes | 54c | 41.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Yes | 53c | 41.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 47c | 39.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefb0…aac6backed Yes | 53c | 38.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…8e0bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…2b77backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…040abacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…ba56backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…3b71backed Yes | 61c | 32.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5365…2a63backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…d50dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fadbbacked Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 46c | 24.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…25f2backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…e5a5backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…4382backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…baa0backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…381ebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49d…cfcabacked Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…1a17backed Yes | 61c | 16.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.