Tennis · resolved market
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3bf6d9e6cbb557ec29e6ce23b7c727fa131357763c1931f757c9759e8ef846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Yes | 39c | 48,788$18,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,824.23 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed No | 61c | 6,820$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.92 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 58c | 6,003$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.39 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 30c | 4,994$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.8 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 61c | 4,350$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.85 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 3,337$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.99 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 39c | 2,185$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.87 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 37c | 1,600$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.4 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 39c | 1,558$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.44 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 11c | 1,190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +207.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 48c | 1,161$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.82 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 63c | 802$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.88 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 80c | 696.81$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Yes | 39c | 646.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Yes | 23c | 319.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…c5ddbacked No | 69c | 197.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 24c | 188.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Yes | 38c | 127.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 61c | 109.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 15c | 101.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…34b5backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked No | 65c | 79.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 77.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…4f92backed No | 23c | 66.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed No | 44c | 51.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Yes | 39c | 51.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…756dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…5ba6backed Yes | 40c | 44.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…3356backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…d9afbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c14…5f22backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…b892backed Yes | 57c | 19.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?this page
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.