Tennis · resolved market
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ff6b24c3a5260e25c5e5405f9b559c418771b9a6ce4e8d11086d34ffd80ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 61c | 16,666$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,099.6 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 63c | 14,756$9,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,367.9 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 43c | 9,351$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.63 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed No | 37c | 4,960$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.69 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 63c | 4,550$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.82 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 61c | 4,000$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 62c | 3,537$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 62c | 2,800$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.6 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed No | 39c | 1,270$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.62 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…7dd1backed Yes | 37c | 609.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 63c | 540.54$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 66c | 500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.68 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 63c | 389$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 64c | 368.26$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked No | 24c | 314.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 37c | 266.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d3…1142backed Yes | 62c | 242$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes | 63c | 230.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c80…96ebbacked No | 38c | 221$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…01f7backed No | 38c | 218$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c63backed Yes | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…54f9backed No | 38c | 170$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Yes | 63c | 157.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…5f9bbacked No | 38c | 135.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 36c | 119.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…34b5backed Yes | 13c | 116.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…e8f5backed Yes | 62c | 111$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 35c | 90.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…9d9ebacked Yes | 62c | 85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes | 62c | 80.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 79.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…a00ebacked No | 47c | 76.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…21f9backed Yes | 33c | 74.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…94d8backed Yes | 62c | 68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked Yes | 62c | 52.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…b892backed Yes | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 63c | 47.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb6…c20cbacked Yes | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…6d6ebacked Yes | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…bd63backed No | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…b752backed No | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…9ee9backed No | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 54c | 24.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…c0a4backed Yes | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bd5cbacked Yes | 62c | 21.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…bd91backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…1c48backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?this page
- Will Clara Tauson win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.