World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd684dc25735c6060091933d0a20e80941bb49c6fb1cf4b630297cd7cff59f849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 26c | 14,936$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.14 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 57c | 11,809$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,053.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 55c | 10,809$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…343dbacked Yes | 23c | 7,474$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 40c | 6,516$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 20c | 4,792$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 20c | 4,727$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 63c | 4,631$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 61c | 4,115$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 79c | 4,011$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 45c | 3,699$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.53 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 16c | 3,509$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.79 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a8…5d12backed Yes | 45c | 3,457$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 64c | 3,333$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.75 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 61c | 3,261$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 39c | 3,140$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.61 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 24c | 2,830$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 58c | 2,337$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 40c | 2,181$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,138$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 41c | 2,100$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…e4e4backed No | 65c | 2,014$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 38c | 1,887$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 28c | 1,660$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 60c | 1,443$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,411$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.9 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,245$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.6 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,226$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 40c | 1,161$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.45 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…3fc0backed No | 57c | 1,061$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 61c | 1,050$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,050$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.9 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked No | 68c | 1,002$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 16c | 999.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfe…d914backed Yes | 26c | 961.15$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 5c | 944.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 46c | 922.48$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 50c | 900$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 33c | 887$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 63c | 845.18$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…b3e1backed No | 61c | 840.53$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 71c | 831.22$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 60c | 793$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…3d7cbacked Yes | 64c | 781.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 70c | 770$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 2c | 765.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 25c | 734.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 68c | 700$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +1,615.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…7411backed Yes | 69c | 666.36$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…0172backed Yes | 45c | 664.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 65c | 650$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 69c | 630.95$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 71c | 569.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…d289backed Yes | 40c | 546.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed No | 63c | 541$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…09d9backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 17c | 518.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 19c | 517.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed No | 63c | 510.74$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 63c | 505.17$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked No | 72c | 502.35$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…d95bbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 60c | 480$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 15c | 453.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…adefbacked Yes | 23c | 442.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 433.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…aaf2backed Yes | 30c | 429.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 58c | 426.54$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.35 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 76c | 424.49$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked No | 75c | 420$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…56a2backed No | 68c | 385.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 74c | 378.12$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 23c | 376.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…adf4backed Yes | 40c | 370.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 55c | 365.37$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 21c | 355.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 39cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…d5e8backed No | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked No | 66c | 349.79$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…2602backed Yes | 21c | 336.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 50c | 336.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…8e71backed Yes | 22c | 328.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…3b8ebacked Yes | 42c | 326.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…2fd6backed No | 60c | 321.28$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 40c | 319.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9173…c006backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 38c | 294.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 33c | 271.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.