Fifa International · resolved market
France to score first vs. Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb6e3e8e8c648fed3367e2af2b7e302984d1e82f6723a08f1b92330d3733883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 77c | 15,677$12,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.37 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 77c | 10,717$8,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.26 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 23c | 9,710$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.2 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 23c | 6,549$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.26 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked No | 24c | 2,826$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 23c | 2,650$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.48 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 24c | 2,309$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 23c | 2,198$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.14 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 75c | 2,016$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.7 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 23c | 1,871$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.86 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed No | 23c | 1,598$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.45 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 20c | 1,509$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed No | 23c | 1,326$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 1,275$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…c03bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,208$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 1,183$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes | 78c | 789.91$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 77c | 750.01$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 25c | 470.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 417.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 395.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…7afbbacked Yes | 78c | 382.04$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 23c | 292.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 24c | 263.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +547.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7f…4fc9backed Yes | 76c | 235.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 24c | 217.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 25c | 200.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 75c | 196$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 37c | 164.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 77c | 161.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 23c | 147.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes | 76c | 146.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 78c | 145$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…c072backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…1dadbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…4c38backed Yes | 73c | 135.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed Yes | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 77c | 132$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3e…47e8backed No | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…0b4abacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 25c | 122.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 73c | 120.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes | 76c | 118.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Yes | 76c | 116$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 22c | 103.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc361…7babbacked Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…4497backed Yes | 79c | 102.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 23c | 100.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…f22cbacked Yes | 77c | 100.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 78c | 100.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes | 73c | 99.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 77c | 99.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 28c | 96.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 23c | 89.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes | 78c | 88.46$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 78c | 85.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…7b28backed No | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb463…4c26backed Yes | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 76c | 65.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 76c | 65.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…1c81backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…f072backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…8e67backed Yes | 78c | 64.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…5b75backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…5792backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…eeabbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…b613backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 28c | 58.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…93d0backed Yes | 74c | 57.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…e407backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 75c | 48.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 80c | 43.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1827…42bcbacked No | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to score first vs. Sweden?this page
- France vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?No won
- Sweden to score first vs. France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.