Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden to score first vs. France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296566f75d035bef9e88cd8c591c3e05a1985ef75212bf6a8d1b2d5d82a8d0fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 11,540$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 3,332$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…f55bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,846$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 2,191$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 79c | 1,915$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.25 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…fcc4backed Yes | 21c | 1,536$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 1,342$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,305$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd83…79cfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 25c | 914.28$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…d174backed Yes | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 75c | 723.95$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 632.18$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 80c | 502.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…7404backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…7708backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…1471backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 399.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…0e10backed Yes | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 369$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 334.05$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 78c | 324.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 278.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 75c | 278.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…f4eebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 195.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 20c | 195.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 17c | 155.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 22c | 148.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 78c | 142.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 130.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 125.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked No | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 25c | 121.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes | 19c | 115.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 77c | 107.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…86f3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…b771backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…61adbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…bc97backed Yes | 21c | 95.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…59ccbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 80c | 89.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…141dbacked Yes | 22c | 89.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…9ce4backed Yes | 20c | 84.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…3954backed Yes | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…7670backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb463…4c26backed Yes | 22c | 81.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4189…9534backed Yes | 22c | 80.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 23c | 79.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…3cf7backed Yes | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a6…1948backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…3feebacked Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 19c | 65.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 76c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 23c | 54.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb6…223cbacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 80c | 52.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 185 | 54.6%101 W · 84 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…135bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…99a0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 21.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden to score first vs. France?this page
- France to score first vs. Sweden?Yes won
- France vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.