TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Panduleni Itula be the next President of Namibia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,742,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,742,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf6ab…8485backed Yes0c27,854$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…d087backed Yes0c27,351$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a3…4428backed Yes0c26,677$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…5a2ebacked Yes0c26,443$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d8…a6fbbacked Yes0c26,188$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0e…2c08backed Yes0c25,108$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63b1…16f9backed Yes0c23,945$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe762…5c76backed Yes0c23,870$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773e…7f7ebacked Yes0c23,284$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b02…6d1fbacked Yes0c21,970$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e8…0d41backed Yes0c21,820$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293d…bbb8backed Yes0c21,565$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa789…258fbacked Yes0c21,159$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8f…7046backed Yes0c20,904$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8037…8e32backed Yes0c20,657$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc277…68fbbacked Yes0c20,326$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf109…006abacked Yes0c20,155$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…174abacked Yes0c20,092$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46f…3de1backed Yes0c20,071$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e1…a448backed Yes0c19,665$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5a…9fbabacked Yes0c19,569$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00eb…8cbabacked Yes0c19,322$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3287…1b54backed Yes0c19,163$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb87a…cc76backed Yes0c18,757$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c7f…0f82backed Yes0c18,427$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7bc…19b0backed Yes0c18,276$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8903…6baebacked Yes0c18,193$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd403…7492backed Yes0c18,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8512…0774backed Yes0c18,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153f…3f9abacked Yes0c17,849$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34da…2247backed Yes0c17,594$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b1…0616backed Yes0c17,263$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5eb…0e13backed Yes0c17,188$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5d…07a0backed Yes0c17,092$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856f…47b4backed Yes0c17,017$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c20…84f9backed Yes0c16,933$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecd…f4a7backed Yes0c16,858$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd868…ba3bbacked Yes0c16,356$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d53…1e27backed Yes0c16,280$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1cb…0db2backed Yes0c16,280$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed66…cff9backed Yes0c15,950$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae57…98b8backed Yes0c15,853$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5b70backed Yes0c15,544$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20b…b282backed Yes0c15,544$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84b…ec9ebacked Yes0c15,523$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c4…ee2ebacked Yes0c15,469$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dce…4106backed Yes0c15,448$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…af23backed Yes0c15,192$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64bc…ee7cbacked Yes0c14,967$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3710…8cc4backed Yes0c14,808$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2811…3420backed Yes0c14,615$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f86…0104backed Yes0c14,477$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2536…e130backed Yes0c14,381$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a3…7133backed Yes0c14,381$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847d…50f6backed Yes0c14,284$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ab…7a1ebacked Yes0c13,975$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…ff47backed Yes0c13,954$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb56…411abacked Yes0c13,954$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815e…a68ebacked Yes0c13,954$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbe…fe19backed Yes0c13,954$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dca…3a79backed Yes0c13,900$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfd…0edfbacked Yes0c13,803$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6a…ca76backed Yes0c13,803$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5791…ffc0backed Yes0c13,644$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a21…06a6backed Yes0c13,623$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1034…5b3fbacked Yes0c13,548$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c22…e53cbacked Yes0c13,067$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a02…3bebbacked Yes0c12,971$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ca…bac1backed Yes0c12,715$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2f…42e3backed Yes0c12,715$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a5…3eb4backed Yes0c12,640$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25e…9cf5backed Yes0c12,640$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0279…d481backed Yes0c12,310$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e9…1aabbacked Yes0c12,310$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0460…1017backed Yes0c12,234$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…9680backed Yes0c11,979$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a85…6dc6backed Yes0c11,904$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ac7…6521backed Yes0c11,807$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cb…c451backed Yes0c11,732$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58a…7470backed Yes0c11,573$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe933…f072backed Yes0c11,230$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f5…5a77backed Yes0c11,168$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa8…a217backed Yes0c10,899$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7c…b7e5backed Yes0c10,899$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb23b…906cbacked Yes0c10,741$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f63…87a7backed Yes0c10,665$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd5…83f9backed Yes0c10,569$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463d…6af2backed Yes0c10,569$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ec…dd1bbacked Yes0c10,238$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd70…8e16backed Yes0c10,238$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…b4cebacked Yes0c10,238$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4724…83f8backed Yes0c9,929$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb902…f400backed Yes0c9,833$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb49…03b0backed Yes0c9,330$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f0f…9276backed Yes0c9,330$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa381…0bf2backed Yes0c9,096$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e7…e7c8backed Yes0c8,669$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f0…cfe5backed Yes0c8,594$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…521ebacked Yes0c8,422$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3e…472ebacked Yes0c8,264$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.