Fifa International · resolved market
Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35d79ae6abdd433be5e977ac5a70818fd459e9b183b141db42391b009f381bbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 4c | 27,262$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.49 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 9,158$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.13 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 3c | 6,256$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 1c | 2,813$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 5c | 2,063$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Yes | 6c | 1,962$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,953$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,204$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 3c | 958.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…e574backed Yes | 1c | 923.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 5c | 833.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Yes | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 2c | 499.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…def4backed Yes | 4c | 486.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Yes | 4c | 470.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 5c | 439.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 417.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…d90fbacked Yes | 5c | 402.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 4c | 402.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 4c | 399.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 4c | 306.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 220 | 26.4%58 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 3c | 304.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…81cbbacked Yes | 5c | 254.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed Yes | 4c | 250.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw?No won
- Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.