Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd2e9abc8b1cb4107b6bc492aa822592d2129a68f04e32b542f7476cb834ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 3c | 2,863$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,277$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 9c | 2,111$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,806$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 1,783$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,551$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 1,307$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 861.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 10c | 803.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 785.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 9c | 659.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…8d16backed Yes | 8c | 651.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 8c | 648.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 8c | 632.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 566.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Yes | 21c | 475.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…abc4backed Yes | 8c | 379.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 8c | 321$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 311$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…81cbbacked Yes | 16c | 251.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 182.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…c457backed Yes | 16c | 128.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 19c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc9…7ad0backed Yes | 15c | 104.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 14c | 103.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw?this page
- Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.