Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc50ba4d87f24c2caba2479aaaf31cba404fd5e60ba5b028c1a770d9f552f3ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…6961backed Yes | 41c | 1,398$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…dca0backed No | 59c | 1,398$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 1,150$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,010$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.7 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 42c | 848$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.84 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 67c | 825.88$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.54 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 64c | 399.95$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 61c | 340.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 61c | 324.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 282.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 61c | 264.52$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 33c | 167.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 59c | 135.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 64c | 119.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1152…caa8backed Yes | 39c | 103.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Yes | 33c | 81.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 60c | 80.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed No | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2832…8968backed No | 63c | 66.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…bdadbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 61c | 62.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…71e3backed Yes | 35c | 60.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 55c | 60.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…67e0backed Yes | 41c | 50.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…bdb3backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf185…1bd1backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…4d76backed Yes | 33c | 31.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Yes | 38c | 28.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…6db5backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?this page
- Will Club Brugge beat Sporting CP?Yes won
- Will the match between Club Brugge and Sporting CP end as a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.