Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge beat Sporting CP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6941b4556780807f62ece151dc327f24b0a7d536de868a2b08aa839bf2f6f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Yes | 22c | 4,550$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 14c | 4,385$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.13 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 37c | 1,973$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.97 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 1,385$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.07 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.83 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 34c | 715.35$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.13 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 20c | 502.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…425cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 40c | 238.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 18c | 167.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…26a3backed Yes | 36c | 132.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…953abacked Yes | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 65c | 48.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…afbfbacked No | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…601abacked No | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…d045backed No | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…67e0backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…3067backed No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge beat Sporting CP?this page
- Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?No won
- Will the match between Club Brugge and Sporting CP end as a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.