Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat RB Salzburg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe226c830cc2bc1651512d00334107428dd32ce3b805485fed270198878562b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 76c | 6,888$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.98 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 3,088$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 2,693$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.76 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 78c | 1,235$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 22c | 1,087$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 19c | 1,006$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 78c | 999.95$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 22c | 894.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 20c | 575.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed No | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 77c | 434.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…7d21backed No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +503.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 77c | 336.36$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 20c | 300.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed No | 23c | 230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…3924backed No | 12c | 186.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 72c | 154.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 22c | 133.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 28c | 46.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…2c79backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cba…1d68backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…4036backed Yes | 78c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…eb45backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain beat RB Salzburg?this page
- Will RB Salzburg beat Paris Saint-Germain?No won
- Will the match between RB Salzburg and Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.