Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Besiktas beat Maccabi TLV?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bb549b3c61043e67ed960becdb0ffef13fcfcd20336674abbc2e1ee4c11a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 43c | 1,069$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.08 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 76c | 571.07$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 57c | 541.37$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 41c | 403.37$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 56c | 295$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 44c | 228.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 40c | 170.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…5bdfbacked No | 44c | 120.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…3924backed Yes | 25c | 118.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0820…e937backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…9500backed Yes | 24c | 103.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 34c | 68.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…ea7bbacked Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…56debacked Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed Yes | 64c | 35.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…bc7abacked Yes | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…e595backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…4774backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…b099backed Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…17b3backed Yes | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…dc36backed Yes | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 43c | 25.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…2752backed Yes | 58c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 57c | 17.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Besiktas beat Maccabi TLV?this page
- Will Maccabi TLV beat Besiktas?Yes won
- Will the match between Besiktas and Maccabi TLV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.