Champions League · resolved market
Will Barcelona beat Stade Brestois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fb30beacd1aa0c4d64b23b46494b3d4f58b7b2af470fa6a6939ddfaab8014da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 19c | 14,635$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.1 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed No | 18c | 4,620$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 18c | 2,636$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.84 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 18c | 2,088$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 18c | 1,566$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 17c | 1,319$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked No | 18c | 1,105$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed No | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 16c | 999.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 17c | 999.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…fda6backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…547cbacked No | 20c | 387.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed No | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 15c | 288.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 17c | 205$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…a80fbacked No | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 79c | 105.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 17c | 62.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…cec8backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…94d5backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona beat Stade Brestois?this page
- Will Stade Brestois beat Barcelona?No won
- Will the match between Barcelona and Stade Brestois end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.