CS2 · resolved market
Will Spirit win Blast Premier World Final 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f6399f33d838efec591acd8c291893fb7ff5fd74687e3e32ef1197f64b2a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Yes | 14c | 6,139$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 9c | 6,060$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.7 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 4c | 2,121$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 49c | 1,813$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 41c | 1,570$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 58c | 1,555$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.57 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 44c | 801.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked No | 71c | 488.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…9400backed Yes | 14c | 221.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…19b0backed Yes | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…deabbacked Yes | 17c | 214.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…2fb5backed Yes | 21c | 182.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 15c | 161.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 13c | 157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 32c | 155.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…9cbdbacked Yes | 42c | 126.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 45c | 120.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 68c | 120.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…5487backed Yes | 45c | 112.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Yes | 13c | 106.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…a149backed Yes | 17c | 100.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…6495backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…2695backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…7edfbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 41c | 69.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 69c | 64.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2c…f823backed No | 55c | 51.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…3524backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spirit win Blast Premier World Final 2024?this page
- Will Astralis win Blast Premier World Final 2024?No won
- Will FaZe win Blast Premier World Final 2024?No won
- Will G2 win Blast Premier World Final 2024?Yes won
- Will Liquid win Blast Premier World Final 2024?No won
- Will Mouz win Blast Premier World Final 2024?No won
- Will NaVi win Blast Premier World Final 2024?No won
- Will Vitality win Blast Premier World Final 2024?No won
- Will another team win Blast Premier World Final 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.