TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will NaVi win Blast Premier World Final 2024?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,247 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost-$25017243%74 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon+$619.9923851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes31c1,665$514 inLost-$513.793633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes31c835.77$259 inLost-$259.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb9…59f6backed Yes15c363.68$55 inLost-$54.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed No70c344$242 inWon+$102.210933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Yes28c342.6$97 inLost-$96.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes32c340.63$109 inLost-$10910738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e30…9e6fbacked Yes32c301.16$96 inLost-$96.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b81…274cbacked Yes31c260.03$81 inLost-$80.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No68c242.64$165 inWon+$77.872330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…9400backed Yes32c221.88$71 inLost-$7130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes30c200$60 inLost-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes11c200$22 inLost-$222142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes32c175$56 inLost-$56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…5f57backed Yes31c65$20 inLost-$20.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0760…c72ebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes29c55.35$16 inLost-$16.0581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No75c52.51$39 inWon+$13.24151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb555…e61bbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes24c48$12 inLost-$11.5210650%53 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…f665backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed No70c42.86$30 inWon+$12.868137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fb3…0eedbacked Yes32c33.94$11 inLost-$10.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd32…408dbacked No70c20$14 inWon+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed No70c17.14$12 inWon+$5.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.