Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170547668ab3545ad2b3698b0fc7929d7b5a0fa0bd6b290a8dff9fc97b8e3b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 11,061$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.79 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 78c | 8,200$6,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 77c | 6,247$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.58 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 22c | 5,134$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.51 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 24c | 4,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.95 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 22c | 4,100$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 22c | 3,200$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 6c | 3,157$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 77c | 2,404$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 24c | 1,800$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.98 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 9c | 1,750$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,709$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,685$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…19adbacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,163$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Yes | 80c | 1,115$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 1c | 1,017$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 24c | 999.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 74c | 985.44$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 76c | 915.37$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 21c | 743.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 75c | 724.92$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Yes | 80c | 690.78$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yes | 79c | 634.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…564bbacked No | 23c | 608$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 24c | 486$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 78c | 365$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…a9f9backed Yes | 76c | 364.82$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 24c | 332.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 16c | 289.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00b6…3809backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 77c | 259.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Yes | 77c | 257.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 4c | 244.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 76c | 224.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Yes | 76c | 216.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…fec6backed No | 26c | 213.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…b2b2backed No | 26c | 210.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996e…a1a3backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…83d5backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 75c | 199.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…94c3backed Yes | 74c | 178.38$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 26c | 168.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2af…f8fbbacked No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Yes | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Yes | 80c | 160.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked No | 20c | 151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed No | 10c | 137.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Yes | 77c | 134.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…458bbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…1a23backed Yes | 74c | 122.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Yes | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab40…bff1backed Yes | 75c | 119.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…6465backed Yes | 79c | 116.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed No | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 74c | 104.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…e322backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…f321backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked No | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…04f1backed Yes | 77c | 92.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…aa75backed Yes | 77c | 92.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 23c | 82.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…4709backed Yes | 75c | 74.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…631abacked Yes | 75c | 72.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…e229backed Yes | 75c | 71.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9944…86cdbacked Yes | 75c | 70.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…6467backed Yes | 75c | 66.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…868cbacked No | 23c | 66.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…4e44backed Yes | 75c | 65.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 77c | 64.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed Yes | 75c | 52.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…e6b3backed No | 25c | 52.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…65c6backed Yes | 80c | 50.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…706ebacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.