TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed Yes14c4,199$599 inLost-$598.757939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed Yes8c1,395$107 inLost-$107.1140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes5c1,048$54 inLost-$53.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes13c1,000$132 inLost-$1321225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Yes15c804.84$120 inLost-$119.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes13c755.88$98 inLost-$98.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde77…65d2backed Yes14c692.18$100 inLost-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0448…75aabacked Yes15c686.2$103 inLost-$102.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes6c600.99$36 inLost-$36.212642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe424…8874backed Yes10c533.76$55 inLost-$54.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes5c503.72$25 inLost-$25.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes9c501.16$44 inLost-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c74…d2d4backed Yes4c483.73$21 inLost-$20.53425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c463.95$20 inLost-$20.1938147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff3e…c6e3backed Yes8c370.58$30 inLost-$29.59520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8024…ba91backed Yes6c249.99$15 inLost-$15.472218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa518…24b4backed Yes6c247.83$15 inLost-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb25…a21dbacked Yes14c208.4$30 inLost-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes8c206.14$16 inLost-$16.242560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b0…4013backed No80c200$160 inWon+$40977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes20c200$40 inLost-$409154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199e…d210backed Yes13c172.23$22 inLost-$22.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes14c134.71$19 inLost-$19.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost-$14.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6561…5fbebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost-$11.9425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes15c98.04$15 inLost-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb76…88efbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.