Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine beat Georgia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a64a99cf798905d9f384f100e4809f748fc348b0d24ee2226ab8f40b17656f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 67c | 4,498$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b1…a4a2backed Yes | 35c | 1,694$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3a36backed No | 65c | 1,470$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 39c | 1,271$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed No | 64c | 1,221$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…fedcbacked Yes | 33c | 1,031$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 35c | 941.13$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed No | 64c | 809.19$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +261.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 40c | 748.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.53 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 35c | 555.88$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…da54backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Yes | 18c | 498$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Yes | 20c | 439$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Yes | 33c | 311.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 310.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 69c | 305.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed No | 67c | 279$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…da92backed No | 67c | 178.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…716ebacked Yes | 36c | 156.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…0bdbbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…68b8backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 66c | 138.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Yes | 36c | 127.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…cebfbacked Yes | 40c | 125.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…a935backed Yes | 37c | 120.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 50c | 108.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…da9dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Yes | 36c | 87.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 37c | 79.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 64c | 76.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 68c | 75.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…25b3backed Yes | 39c | 66.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed No | 32c | 63.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed No | 52c | 57.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 58c | 49.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…f22fbacked Yes | 40c | 45.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 72c | 44.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…e04fbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 36c | 31.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…da3fbacked Yes | 36c | 29.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine beat Georgia?this page
- Will Georgia beat Ukraine?No won
- Will the match between Georgia and Ukraine end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.