Fifa International · resolved market
Will Georgia beat Ukraine?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8427dffa2c479b170235bab78181762bcffea3776f9bca63ce55a3c0a5b223d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22b1…a4a2backed Yes | 41c | 4,704$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 62c | 1,674$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 65c | 1,017$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.46 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 64c | 764.13$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…4ee5backed Yes | 40c | 505.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 63c | 484$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…bcc2backed Yes | 35c | 483.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 62c | 476.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 62c | 280.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…f326backed No | 67c | 246.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 52c | 225$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 61c | 140.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 33c | 126.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 39c | 64.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5d…0734backed No | 25c | 57.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…ae0fbacked Yes | 65c | 26.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…19dbbacked Yes | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…599bbacked No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia beat Ukraine?this page
- Will Ukraine beat Georgia?No won
- Will the match between Georgia and Ukraine end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.