Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto beat Anderlecht?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3888a0d522b7d9661270eb53957b15de95ca3d85f9c37216af89cb00a4e1e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 48c | 5,152$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 52c | 3,912$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.21 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 52c | 2,345$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.59 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 36c | 2,015$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.1 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x706f…a645backed Yes | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…a759backed No | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,894$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.33 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 54c | 1,380$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.2 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,058$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.58 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 52c | 1,000$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.04 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 47c | 983.45$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.22 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 30c | 660$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 49c | 455.37$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Yes | 50c | 446.76$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked No | 49c | 444.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 29c | 391$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 22c | 293.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f36cbacked Yes | 21c | 172$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 50c | 170.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…d6c7backed Yes | 48c | 87.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…7697backed No | 57c | 87.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 51c | 55.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…275ebacked No | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…9d44backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…ea7bbacked Yes | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…793abacked Yes | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto beat Anderlecht?this page
- Will Anderlecht beat FC Porto?No won
- Will the match between Anderlecht and FC Porto end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.