Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Anderlecht beat FC Porto?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1a87ff059761472b764cfe601ec60bcca60e1eeb44485abe05ca3becabaca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 75c | 7,033$5,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.49 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 26c | 5,827$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.06 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 78c | 905.03$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 10c | 804.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…36b4backed Yes | 29c | 680.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 10c | 524.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 75c | 492$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 27c | 371.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 306.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…e85bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 75c | 270.84$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked No | 77c | 200.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 25c | 191.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 175.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed No | 73c | 136.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 74c | 101.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anderlecht beat FC Porto?this page
- Will FC Porto beat Anderlecht?No won
- Will the match between Anderlecht and FC Porto end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.