Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus beat LOSC Lille?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf296005a815b48b220a62bcf006d17f3f4e26ec710478949265b13a9dd4dba30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 63c | 875$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed Yes | 37c | 850$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 60c | 564.79$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.96 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…bed5backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 19c | 124.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 61c | 102.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 40c | 94.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 61c | 86.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…ec52backed Yes | 39c | 76.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…87b5backed Yes | 40c | 26.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…4cb1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus beat LOSC Lille?this page
- Will LOSC Lille beat Juventus?No won
- Will the match between LOSC Lille and Juventus end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.