TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Kings, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings42c14,258$6,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,012.9747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe51…3982backed Lakers54c8,302$4,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.764517.8%8 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Kings50c7,600$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.771618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings45c6,469$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.3761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings50c6,436$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,188.111,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd10…0d30backed Lakers74c4,967$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.591540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Kings6c4,860$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4525939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers52c3,900$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8721,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Lakers50c3,442$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.819248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc8…35aebacked Lakers54c3,040$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Kings34c2,763$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.5722832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Lakers52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Lakers70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.579868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Kings48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.9613857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers76c1,341$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8936247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers46c1,334$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.434623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings9c1,095$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.471,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Lakers52c1,027$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Lakers71c1,000$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Lakers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Lakers46c966$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Kings27c764$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.814729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers51c696.08$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.081,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Kings34c626.1$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Lakers42c585.62$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Lakers64c562.51$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.763652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Lakers51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2459946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Kings52c443.33$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.216955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Kings47c440.17$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…edfbbacked Kings6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Lakers50c350.25$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.252254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Lakers43c335$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Lakers80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.55747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Lakers50c309.57$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.791070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Kings7c287.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.592369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Lakers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.028347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9bb…00c4backed Lakers52c268.83$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+84.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Lakers50c211.44$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.088436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Lakers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9829355.3%162 W · 131 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Lakers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Lakers51c198.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.412236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a52…e373backed Lakers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Lakers53c187.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b2…62f4backed Lakers56c184.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Lakers52c174.46$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.745856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf5…2865backed Kings19c169.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Lakers37c156.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7624844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings48c149.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.351,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Kings31c146.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0316443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Lakers51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Lakers54c138.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.336747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…5fbfbacked Lakers51c133.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Lakers53c130.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.541376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Lakers52c129.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.43342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Lakers51c119.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.84850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x955f…17d4backed Kings25c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe800…e861backed Lakers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeab…7afebacked Lakers42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Lakers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Kings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Kings47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Lakers41c99.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.672015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39c…0498backed Lakers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1513756.2%77 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0760…c72ebacked Lakers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…7defbacked Lakers53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad04…e581backed Kings24c86.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Lakers64c79.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.993661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd123…4f07backed Kings49c78.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.760%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70a0…2c98backed Lakers79c77.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdb9…0e56backed Lakers58c75.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+50.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…6267backed Lakers56c62.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Kings50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Kings50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d36…e1a8backed Lakers45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332313%3 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Lakers59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.325939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Lakers70c59.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.711776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…6e54backed Kings66c58.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Lakers52c57.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.682842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Kings32c52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6418437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Lakers52c50.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.255257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…9741backed Lakers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0190…c434backed Lakers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a09…335dbacked Lakers53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.174452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e6…456ebacked Kings38c45.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Lakers53c42.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9510334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c63…ab50backed Kings49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Lakers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012747.2%60 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd59f…33e8backed Lakers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Lakers52c38.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.556043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfb…c994backed Lakers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab79…695fbacked Lakers62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Lakers51c30.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79154.9%50 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Kings50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159645.8%44 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Lakers51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4123048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Lakers51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Lakers52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8513847.8%66 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…7770backed Lakers53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.755263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Kings70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.