F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the Mexico City Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9656266701609c4bd4ce21e4fde24ebeffb263eb8ce3180688766d58e99cafcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 24c | 4,467$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 77c | 3,439$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.63 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 28c | 2,987$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.07 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 74c | 2,477$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.01 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,096$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 70c | 1,256$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 13c | 808.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 72c | 705.22$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 31c | 650.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 20c | 621.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 23c | 616$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…e564backed Yes | 22c | 455.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 77c | 409.9$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…9116backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 7c | 327.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 61c | 284.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7d…772abacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…c4abbacked Yes | 15c | 249.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 45c | 223.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…e42abacked Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…ea73backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…fc03backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 25c | 109.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…a1aabacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f98…8436backed Yes | 21c | 93.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…9c38backed Yes | 17c | 88.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed No | 75c | 77.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…e5f5backed Yes | 19c | 59.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…1627backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…f806backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…112fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…947bbacked No | 71c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…2f10backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…7ff9backed No | 78c | 13.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Mexico City Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will George Russell win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.