F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed16f9f62a2cfed12df0ea37dcb1c84df677b9ef79d0750028cfded27ed515eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033e…4cdfbacked No | 75c | 29,688$22,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 26c | 12,846$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 25c | 8,756$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 25c | 5,909$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.02 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,026$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.31 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 24c | 2,300$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…9116backed Yes | 10c | 998.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 26c | 716.31$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 79c | 714.35$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 5c | 395.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 25c | 342.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 9c | 322.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…8753backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 71c | 267.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 73c | 259.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 22c | 242$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 71c | 237.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 73c | 228.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…e5f5backed Yes | 7c | 226.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d8…ab68backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 32c | 181.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…a1aabacked Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 28c | 163.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…a8f2backed Yes | 27c | 154.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…4c6dbacked Yes | 20c | 153.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 28c | 148.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…c863backed Yes | 30c | 133.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 23c | 129.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed No | 78c | 128.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…3439backed Yes | 24c | 127.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 28c | 90.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…403dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…585fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…a641backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c812backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…9c38backed Yes | 27c | 55.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…cd69backed Yes | 28c | 54.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…000dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…5de1backed No | 71c | 40.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…e42abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…f806backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…02f3backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…181ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…ee38backed Yes | 41c | 39.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 72c | 39.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…ddc6backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bd…c99ebacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…329fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…a20fbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Mexico City Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.