MLB · resolved market
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d7eba4a09e5413d004e59d94adb04aeb6446389593c6d36dd224030446299f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 12,754$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.67 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mets | 52c | 9,996$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.04 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…9a8bbacked Mets | 42c | 8,334$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Dodgers | 50c | 8,077$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 5,089$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.81 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Mets | 40c | 3,500$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mets | 41c | 3,370$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.87 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 1,753$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.69 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Mets | 42c | 1,594$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,236$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…f013backed Mets | 43c | 1,158$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Mets | 8c | 1,037$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Mets | 41c | 1,001$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.45 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Dodgers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Mets | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 904.69$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mets | 6c | 867.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets | 6c | 700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mets | 40c | 538.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Dodgers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 442.42$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Mets | 39c | 396.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Dodgers | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Dodgers | 53c | 342.37$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Dodgers | 57c | 312.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Mets | 41c | 311.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Mets | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Mets | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…c62bbacked Mets | 41c | 219.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Mets | 14c | 213.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Mets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Mets | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…a884backed Mets | 10c | 197.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Mets | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…d32cbacked Mets | 17c | 149.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Mets | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Mets | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Dodgers | 59c | 113.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…03e7backed Mets | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…93a4backed Mets | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Dodgers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…04b9backed Dodgers | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Dodgers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad4…9259backed Mets | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5125…3f72backed Dodgers | 59c | 77.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Dodgers | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Dodgers | 59c | 61.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…2a6dbacked Mets | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…933cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…3370backed Dodgers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Dodgers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Mets | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Dodgers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 45.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…5cadbacked Dodgers | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Mets | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Dodgers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Dodgers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…bcd7backed Dodgers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…da81backed Dodgers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…8362backed Dodgers | 59c | 33.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…b402backed Dodgers | 52c | 32.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Dodgers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…2a19backed Dodgers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +199%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…83cdbacked Dodgers | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…e823backed Dodgers | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Dodgers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.