NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f76c8c02347ab2e6fe191c1be3038de9418bd4133b8d2a87753970fe0415c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Lakers, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 11,103$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.24 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Lakers | 41c | 9,561$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.58 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 10c | 8,342$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.76 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Lakers | 41c | 8,317$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 67c | 8,128$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.89 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Cavaliers | 67c | 5,909$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.83 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Lakers | 17c | 5,676$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 4,541$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.24 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lakers | 43c | 3,319$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.41 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Lakers | 18c | 2,074$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,064$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.35 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 2c | 1,998$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Lakers | 4c | 1,922$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Cavaliers | 60c | 1,803$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.42 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 17c | 1,700$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Lakers | 7c | 1,699$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Lakers | 37c | 1,512$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 1,512$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Lakers | 2c | 1,452$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,429$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Cavaliers | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…03fcbacked Lakers | 38c | 1,127$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a8…c448backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,126$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Cavaliers | 62c | 1,110$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Lakers | 39c | 1,091$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cavaliers | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Lakers | 39c | 986.74$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Lakers | 7c | 967.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Lakers | 35c | 908.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Lakers | 40c | 712.5$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…cf81backed Lakers | 38c | 615.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…a9e4backed Cavaliers | 64c | 615.38$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Lakers | 21c | 589.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Lakers | 25c | 570.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Cavaliers | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…f5e1backed Lakers | 39c | 478.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 476.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a52…e373backed Lakers | 45c | 440.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Lakers | 12c | 366.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Lakers | 21c | 290.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…2be3backed Lakers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Lakers | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Lakers | 40c | 242.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 242.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Lakers | 37c | 227.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Lakers | 38c | 206.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Lakers | 38c | 199.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Cavaliers | 63c | 199.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Lakers | 17c | 190$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…5c1bbacked Lakers | 38c | 170.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…33e8backed Lakers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Lakers | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…162ebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 164.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Cavaliers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Lakers | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Lakers | 36c | 139.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…7a5bbacked Lakers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…00c4backed Lakers | 45c | 137.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…ebbdbacked Lakers | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Cavaliers | 64c | 135$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Lakers | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Lakers | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Lakers | 40c | 129.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Lakers | 35c | 124.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Lakers | 37c | 121.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…f959backed Cavaliers | 61c | 119.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Lakers | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Lakers | 15c | 110.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b4cdbacked Lakers | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…3efdbacked Lakers | 37c | 101.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…81acbacked Lakers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Lakers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Lakers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Lakers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…e46ebacked Lakers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Lakers | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Lakers | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bca…8303backed Lakers | 26c | 93.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 35c | 86.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Cavaliers | 68c | 78.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Lakers | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 74.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5376…2073backed Lakers | 36c | 71.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Cavaliers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…845ebacked Lakers | 36c | 69.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…a1d0backed Lakers | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…6aaabacked Lakers | 33c | 65.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2891…c11bbacked Lakers | 36c | 64.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Lakers | 47c | 64.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Lakers | 39c | 64.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 56.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…2790backed Lakers | 36c | 52.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1f40backed Lakers | 39c | 52.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.