NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf22ef4fd4e93f22e563c79c60e8aa4f7c61c7d5d592b69bc6a9c29ba3f927812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Jazz | 32c | 12,082$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.48 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Jazz | 4c | 9,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Jazz | 31c | 4,484$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.6 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 27c | 3,405$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.38 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…596fbacked Warriors | 71c | 2,049$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Jazz | 2c | 1,396$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Warriors | 79c | 1,293$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.88 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Warriors | 62c | 1,208$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.87 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Warriors | 56c | 820.02$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +85%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz | 38c | 797.4$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Warriors | 60c | 761.56$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…df4cbacked Warriors | 57c | 630.56$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Jazz | 33c | 629.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…e7a3backed Jazz | 9c | 557$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…28e5backed Jazz | 44c | 510$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Jazz | 30c | 501.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 62c | 500$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.15 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…a884backed Warriors | 61c | 426.9$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…751dbacked Jazz | 42c | 410.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Warriors | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Jazz | 40c | 391.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…f8adbacked Warriors | 60c | 379.56$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…89d8backed Jazz | 44c | 252.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Jazz | 18c | 238.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Jazz | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Jazz | 41c | 194.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Jazz | 32c | 180.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Warriors | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Warriors | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Warriors | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Jazz | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Warriors | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Jazz | 38c | 130.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Jazz | 15c | 130.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Jazz | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 58c | 115.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…62f4backed Warriors | 72c | 102.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…0c3bbacked Jazz | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Jazz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Warriors | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…33e8backed Warriors | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Warriors | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Warriors | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Warriors | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Warriors | 73c | 68.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Warriors | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed Jazz | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Warriors | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Jazz | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…c40dbacked Warriors | 60c | 41.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Warriors | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Warriors | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…5365backed Warriors | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed Warriors | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed Warriors | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1c…97d0backed Warriors | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…9326backed Jazz | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…d795backed Warriors | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c44…1b21backed Warriors | 66c | 33.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Warriors | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…501bbacked Warriors | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…5c32backed Warriors | 50c | 26.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98e…485dbacked Warriors | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…d735backed Warriors | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…0e56backed Warriors | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Warriors | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.