NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd213fa648c38060809b5c68276b0481d995b759ba61751b55932ff17ec26dc7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Bulls, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 18c | 1,664$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Bulls | 18c | 1,539$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.43 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks | 80c | 999.88$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 80c | 838.94$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 8c | 798.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bulls | 15c | 765$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Bulls | 20c | 617.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Bulls | 20c | 498.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…e0b9backed Bulls | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Mavericks | 80c | 411$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Mavericks | 80c | 371$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Bulls | 20c | 370.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Mavericks | 79c | 323.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks | 79c | 299$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Mavericks | 78c | 284.7$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bulls | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Bulls | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Bulls | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6166…910abacked Bulls | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Bulls | 21c | 206.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Bulls | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Mavericks | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Bulls | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Bulls | 14c | 155$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6b8ebacked Bulls | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bulls | 18c | 138.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Bulls | 17c | 117.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Bulls | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…7f08backed Bulls | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…2582backed Bulls | 20c | 100.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Mavericks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…986ebacked Bulls | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Bulls | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Bulls | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Bulls | 23c | 95.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…b4d9backed Bulls | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Bulls | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…6fe3backed Bulls | 20c | 92.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…a002backed Bulls | 22c | 77.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Bulls | 20c | 76.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Bulls | 22c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Mavericks | 79c | 72.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Bulls | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 23c | 51.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…a7eebacked Bulls | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…3fa5backed Bulls | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ff5dbacked Mavericks | 80c | 41.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…f6bcbacked Mavericks | 79c | 39.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Mavericks | 78c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…75aabacked Mavericks | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…7aeabacked Mavericks | 79c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Mavericks | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.