NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac8f286e332c03ddfbb4c2fffc4bd88e1b91cda4f4afeee878f9753c191d8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 70c | 15,905$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.73 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Warriors | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 2c | 7,626$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Thunder | 69c | 3,339$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.89 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Warriors | 43c | 3,324$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.01 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Thunder | 18c | 2,811$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.27 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Thunder | 3c | 2,433$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Thunder | 23c | 2,003$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.41 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 32c | 1,996$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,955$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.37 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Thunder | 9c | 1,858$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder | 26c | 1,704$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Warriors | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 20c | 1,500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Warriors | 36c | 1,261$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.29 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Thunder | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Warriors | 34c | 1,054$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Warriors | 67c | 1,020$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 32c | 1,011$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.91 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…a2d4backed Thunder | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…035bbacked Warriors | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 72c | 981.77$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Thunder | 28c | 933.89$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…ba2dbacked Warriors | 75c | 909.02$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 30c | 893.47$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.43 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Warriors | 31c | 887.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Thunder | 68c | 887.79$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Warriors | 58c | 855.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Thunder | 21c | 799.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Thunder | 27c | 700$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Warriors | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Warriors | 31c | 652.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.33 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 64c | 648.39$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.97 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Warriors | 47c | 639.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…a6b5backed Thunder | 5c | 549.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Thunder | 5c | 479.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…af46backed Thunder | 70c | 445.65$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Warriors | 55c | 420.16$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Thunder | 66c | 403.83$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.53 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…8868backed Thunder | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Warriors | 33c | 383.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.68 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 31c | 376.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Warriors | 27c | 373.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Warriors | 37c | 366.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Thunder | 71c | 356.85$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Thunder | 75c | 350$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Thunder | 8c | 349.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Warriors | 31c | 349.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.87 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 60c | 342.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Thunder | 47c | 316.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Warriors | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…ac22backed Thunder | 61c | 284.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 32c | 279.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Thunder | 67c | 275.79$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…3228backed Warriors | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Warriors | 49c | 266.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…a04bbacked Warriors | 29c | 265$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…cfbdbacked Warriors | 45c | 259.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Thunder | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Thunder | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…edb6backed Warriors | 69c | 245.24$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Warriors | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 63c | 223.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 64c | 213.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Thunder | 67c | 207.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Thunder | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Thunder | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Warriors | 26c | 192.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.67 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Warriors | 31c | 190.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Warriors | 28c | 187$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…f696backed Warriors | 52c | 183.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…6d92backed Warriors | 56c | 177.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Warriors | 32c | 175.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Warriors | 49c | 168.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…5e61backed Warriors | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Warriors | 30c | 158.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Warriors | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Warriors | 27c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…a478backed Thunder | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Thunder | 69c | 144.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Thunder | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…ab50backed Warriors | 32c | 142.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…0ababacked Thunder | 72c | 139.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…4036backed Thunder | 69c | 139.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…dfcabacked Thunder | 36c | 134.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Warriors | 31c | 132.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Warriors | 59c | 130.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…3523backed Warriors | 32c | 128.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Thunder | 17c | 126.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Thunder | 71c | 123.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…0e8bbacked Warriors | 31c | 122.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…399cbacked Thunder | 70c | 122.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…eb9bbacked Warriors | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Thunder | 65c | 119.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…2706backed Warriors | 57c | 116.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.