F1 · resolved market
Will Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6021b7548931679527875cafd4285097f28a58c44526b845fb4c1d60208fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,183,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,183,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 38,784$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…f32dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,073$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…1b73backed Yes | 0c | 37,073$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…9db3backed Yes | 0c | 37,073$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…ae30backed Yes | 0c | 28,185$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0399…1be4backed Yes | 0c | 25,268$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…3929backed Yes | 0c | 24,756$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…8a69backed Yes | 0c | 24,715$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 24,602$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…3dc2backed Yes | 1c | 23,269$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…81c3backed Yes | 0c | 22,137$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…f959backed Yes | 0c | 21,736$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…2a25backed Yes | 0c | 21,736$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b8…4708backed Yes | 0c | 21,736$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…dc0abacked Yes | 0c | 21,736$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…b2a6backed Yes | 0c | 21,736$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 0c | 19,521$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…3574backed Yes | 0c | 18,988$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…b829backed Yes | 0c | 18,367$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…1c3cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,698$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…d1bbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,601$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…963dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,587$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3d…c875backed Yes | 0c | 15,584$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…fc00backed Yes | 0c | 15,584$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…2c2dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,575$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…1e2abacked Yes | 0c | 15,553$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…48e7backed Yes | 0c | 15,520$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…08a3backed Yes | 0c | 15,512$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…d95abacked Yes | 0c | 15,505$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af3…a61bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,505$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…aa7abacked Yes | 0c | 15,494$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…d1fcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,494$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…80ddbacked Yes | 0c | 15,472$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…ae2cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,431$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…0927backed Yes | 0c | 15,431$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fc…7261backed Yes | 0c | 15,430$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…d047backed Yes | 0c | 15,430$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58af…5cffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,413$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…1bc7backed Yes | 0c | 15,413$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe536…9f92backed Yes | 0c | 15,413$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bd…a605backed Yes | 0c | 15,413$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2f…cfe2backed Yes | 0c | 15,413$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…6531backed Yes | 0c | 15,413$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 14,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…52f1backed Yes | 0c | 14,889$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…66a8backed Yes | 0c | 14,700$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b04fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,754$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…be3dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,754$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba25…fd3dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,673$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…3208backed Yes | 0c | 13,487$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb667…9680backed Yes | 0c | 13,298$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…7c47backed Yes | 1c | 13,260$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…e461backed Yes | 1c | 12,910$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…4e6abacked Yes | 0c | 12,358$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…80bcbacked Yes | 0c | 11,638$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…a065backed Yes | 1c | 11,156$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…a4cebacked Yes | 0c | 10,868$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 1c | 10,776$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 10,748$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,480$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…61f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,380$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…dd28backed Yes | 0c | 6,280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0e89backed Yes | 0c | 5,720$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…fff1backed Yes | 0c | 5,413$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4038backed Yes | 1c | 3,667$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?this page
- Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No won
- Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes won
- Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.