Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Ferencvaros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4916ad589d1f0b00f1b5a5523938917e8f06a3b674c6c4d4164da11467c359bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 51c | 9,230$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.76 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,441$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 50c | 4,042$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 35c | 3,405$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.74 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 28c | 2,423$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.58 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 61c | 2,300$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed Yes | 74c | 2,236$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…9b56backed Yes | 66c | 1,828$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 1,787$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.45 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,501$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 66c | 968.36$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 66c | 717.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 66c | 630.43$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 38c | 423.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…000dbacked Yes | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 65c | 385.49$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 349.36$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed Yes | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 50c | 328$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 71c | 306.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…f1ffbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ab…7f03backed Yes | 70c | 251.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 73c | 245$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…658ebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…07ffbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…92dcbacked No | 40c | 192.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…9ffabacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d64…f082backed Yes | 66c | 166.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…969dbacked Yes | 60c | 162.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 69c | 162$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…30e1backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…1a6fbacked Yes | 61c | 150.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f90…153dbacked Yes | 52c | 120.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc5…a3ddbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…2e52backed Yes | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 59c | 93.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 27c | 91.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdf…c1edbacked Yes | 69c | 62.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…2becbacked Yes | 69c | 60.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…c48fbacked Yes | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…5762backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…f85abacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…6630backed Yes | 70c | 37.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Yes | 52c | 35.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…398abacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…eae9backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bb…0a4cbacked Yes | 63c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Yes | 61c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Ferencvaros?this page
- Will Ferencvaros beat Tottenham?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.