Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Roma beat IF Elfsborg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16563483015c797937c0e1376ceb704aa0577799ca6a36c5fba01c2f4a26f4a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 45c | 51,379$23,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,244.28 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 55c | 49,969$27,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,482.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 54c | 1,264$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.39 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 50c | 280.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 56c | 221.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…83e3backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b3…3af6backed No | 47c | 103.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…2becbacked Yes | 60c | 100.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…129cbacked Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked No | 48c | 61.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b8b2backed Yes | 57c | 43.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…f3f3backed Yes | 55c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 44c | 25.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…df64backed Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…f85abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Roma beat IF Elfsborg?this page
- Will IF Elfsborg beat Roma?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.