MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a3e6817a9da8779c5b2e569d222b52aeebb765136e3f2e00b155314f4b1ad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Twins | 45c | 89,562$40,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,257.21 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…0d4ebacked Twins | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…4ad8backed Mariners | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…fefdbacked Twins | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 55c | 7,362$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.85 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 45c | 6,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 45c | 5,317$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 55c | 4,001$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.35 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 54c | 3,579$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 78c | 3,329$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.48 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 54c | 3,322$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.17 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 5c | 3,314$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mariners | 55c | 3,139$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.55 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 3c | 2,654$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Twins | 47c | 2,374$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.74 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Mariners | 54c | 2,139$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.89 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 4c | 2,045$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mariners | 52c | 2,045$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.28 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mariners | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Twins | 46c | 1,984$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.64 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Mariners | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Twins | 46c | 1,898$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,600$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.91 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 3c | 1,540$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 55c | 1,521$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.68 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 2c | 1,449$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,430$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.2 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 3c | 1,409$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 45c | 1,401$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.49 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Mariners | 56c | 1,359$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.97 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,348$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 54c | 1,132$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.72 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 2c | 926.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 54c | 738.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.21 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 55c | 727.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.67 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Twins | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 45c | 649.48$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Twins | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Mariners | 55c | 542.44$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Mariners | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Twins | 15c | 525.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Mariners | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Twins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mariners | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Twins | 27c | 388.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Twins | 45c | 384.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twins | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Mariners | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mariners | 71c | 290$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 54c | 284$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 44c | 283.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Mariners | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 7c | 224.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Twins | 17c | 217.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 46c | 215$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 54c | 202.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Mariners | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Mariners | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f91abacked Mariners | 55c | 155.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Twins | 46c | 136.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Twins | 46c | 131.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Mariners | 55c | 119.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…2c25backed Mariners | 46c | 115.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…8a1dbacked Mariners | 55c | 112.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Twins | 47c | 112.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…3eefbacked Twins | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…24a6backed Mariners | 54c | 106.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Twins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Twins | 46c | 102.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3257backed Twins | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 52cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…a5edbacked Mariners | 54c | 98.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Mariners | 54c | 92.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Twins | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 58c | 90.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Mariners | 54c | 90.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mariners | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Twins | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Twins | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Twins | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Twins | 46c | 84.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 67c | 82.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Mariners | 54c | 79.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Mariners | 51c | 78.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.