College Football · resolved market
Bowling vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd8e4c160a91351bfd4131417bcebd45c9ef3e3d7e26463b5c2611c893c2fdef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Bowling, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Bowling | 74c | 26,388$19,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,526.55 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 13,692$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,132.31 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 5,804$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.22 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 5,750$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 2,931$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.94 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 27c | 2,250$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.04 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bowling | 73c | 1,703$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.98 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…a92fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 1,600$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Bowling | 74c | 1,552$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…35a7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 1,550$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…72f5backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…e82dbacked Bowling | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…db3ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…1bf6backed Bowling | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…c3b5backed Bowling | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bowling | 47c | 596.93$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…3923backed Bowling | 74c | 501$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b917backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 500.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling | 72c | 494.89$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.58 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bowling | 51c | 442.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…ba0ebacked Bowling | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…665bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…fdafbacked Bowling | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…0b97backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3235…5a6bbacked Bowling | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bowling | 57c | 375.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.92 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…96aebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 340$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…9eb0backed Bowling | 74c | 340$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…b210backed Bowling | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb9…dfa7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…5aa0backed Bowling | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…fb6ebacked Bowling | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 4c | 288$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 6c | 254.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Bowling | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2f…874dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 190$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…e715backed Bowling | 74c | 190$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 16c | 184.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e7…5769backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 28c | 154$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 25c | 153.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 25c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Bowling | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 15c | 121.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 102$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e99…dea0backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…eae7backed Bowling | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 67c | 82.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Bowling | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 25c | 49.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 25c | 43.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Bowling | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 28c | 37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…8a5dbacked Bowling | 74c | 33.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…90bdbacked Bowling | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Bowling | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Bowling | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…c87ebacked Bowling | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Bowling | 75c | 13.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bowling vs. Kent State Golden Flashesthis page
- Spread: Bowling (-7.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
- Spread: Bowling (-8.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.