MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed0e30a8b79b9dea76475013a4184c12ea290b7b3e3defbc4348fec8f668742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Padres, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Padres | 45c | 20,837$9,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,376.45 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Padres | 40c | 7,199$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 6,810$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.37 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 4,588$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 3,619$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.08 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 34c | 3,430$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.02 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Padres | 33c | 3,383$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.75 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 57c | 3,200$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,454$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,140$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 1,713$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.33 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 44c | 1,684$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.96 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,511$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.23 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,429$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.94 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,294$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.39 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 75c | 1,279$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.11 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,180$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 8c | 1,085$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 1c | 1,033$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 44c | 999.47$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.77 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 907.43$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.88 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Padres | 45c | 899.79$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 16c | 892.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 847.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Padres | 20c | 809.9$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 776.87$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.42 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 762.7$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 665.91$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 47c | 642.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Padres | 36c | 586.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Padres | 23c | 582.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 533.95$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 5c | 505.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 45c | 499.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 46c | 489.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 451.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 446.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 45c | 399.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 6c | 342$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 23c | 330$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 45c | 325.3$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 12c | 300.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 42c | 289.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 36c | 220.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 46c | 215.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…ad02backed Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Padres | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Padres | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Padres | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 102.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 101.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Padres | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Padres | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…ccf4backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 83.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 45c | 80.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Padres | 44c | 77.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 74.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Padres | 54c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…fa40backed Padres | 46c | 53.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…35a7backed Padres | 47c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…d2d9backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 49.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 75c | 46.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…db47backed Padres | 46c | 45.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 42.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Padres | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…0351backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 39.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Padres | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Padres | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Padres | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…b4d1backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 34.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f3…ebd5backed Padres | 46c | 33.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…8d01backed Padres | 45c | 33.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…784bbacked Padres | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 31.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Padres | 47c | 30.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Padres | 58c | 30.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Padres | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…3c31backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 28.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…4677backed Padres | 46c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…2c27backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 25.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.